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Friday, March 22, 2024
USING THE WRONG AI CAN CREATE PROBLEMS. IT'S IMPORTANT TO STUDY DIFFERENT MODELS AND MAKE THE RIGHT CHOICE FOR FOR YOUR BUSINESS
Incorporating artificial intelligence into daily operations can set a business apart. However, recent developments suggest both IBM's Watson and Amazon's Alexa have encountered challenges, underscoring the importance of a cautious approach to integrating AI into your business strategies.
Here's a closer look at the future of conversational AI in business analytics and why you must carefully evaluate its integration into these processes.
The revolution of conversational AI in business analytics
The underlying natural language processing in conversational AI allows businesses to interact with data and customers in a more intuitive and human-like manner. The upsides are obvious: from enhancing customer service with AI-driven chatbots to enabling more accessible data analytics through conversational interfaces.
As far back as 2016, IBM's Watson promised incredible leaps ahead in analyzing complex data sets, notably through initiatives like Watson Oncology at the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center. But although there was much promise and millions of dollars poured into its further development, it came up short. Watson was discontinued in several Genomic projects, as shared in a New York Times report in 2021.
As a recent CNBC article reports, IBM decided to bring Watson back, marketing it as a platform for training other machine learning models. With any evolving technology, there will be highs and lows, and this is a great example of the long arc of innovation when it comes to era-defining technologies like AI.
Similarly, Amazon's Alexa has been a leader in incorporating voice-activated technology into daily business and consumer environments through its incubator programs since 2020, offering a user-friendly interface that enhances operational efficiency and customer experience. More recently, Amazon announced it's combining Alexa with LLM technology to create a more compelling chatbot experience.
IBM's Watson and Amazon's Alexa exemplify the evolving impact of conversational AI in business and how it changes over time.
A reality check on conversational AI
Despite their advanced capabilities, potential benefits, and recent developments, both Watson and Alexa have faced their share of challenges. A 2024 Business Insider report reveals that Amazon has been thinking about introducing a subscription model for Alexa, an idea that signals possible difficulties in monetizing the technology source. Such developments raise questions about the long-term viability and cost implications of incorporating conversational AI systems into business operations. For entrepreneurs and startups operating on tight budgets, the prospect of additional subscriptions or unforeseen expenses can be a significant concern.
Businesses attracted by the promise of conversational AI and decision-making tools must navigate the gap between expectations and reality.
The lessons here are twofold: First, the importance of tempering enthusiasm for new technologies with a critical assessment of their current capabilities and limitations, and second, the need for ongoing evaluation of these tools as they evolve.
Navigating the pitfalls by overcoming AI challenges
The allure of conversational AI technologies like Watson and Alexa is undeniable. Many new NLPs are coming into the market all the time. At my company, Aigo, where we provide cognitive AI solutions, I preach the importance of careful implementation with thorough use cases that provide a foundation that can be leveraged for faster internal development and activation.
It's essential to approach integration with caution. You should keep several key factors in mind:
- Cost Versus Benefit Analysis: Understand the full scope of costs involved, including any potential subscriptions or additional fees. Evaluate whether the benefits of integrating AI technologies outweigh these costs, especially in the early stages of your business.
- Realistic Expectations: Set realistic expectations for what these technologies can achieve. While AI can offer valuable insights and efficiencies, it is not a silver bullet for all business challenges.
- Ethical and Privacy Concerns: Conversational AI involves the collection and processing of vast amounts of data, including potentially sensitive information. Businesses must ensure they adhere to data protection regulations and ethical standards, safeguarding customer privacy and trust.
- Technical Support and Expertise: The integration of AI technologies requires a certain level of technical know-how. Consider the availability of technical support and the need for in-house expertise to manage and optimize the use of these tools effectively.
- Scalability and Flexibility: As your business grows, your needs will change. Assess whether the AI solutions you're considering can scale with your business and if they offer the flexibility to adapt to evolving requirements.
The opportunities and challenges are multiplying
The journey of integrating conversational AI into business operations is fraught with both opportunities and challenges. By conducting thorough due diligence and maintaining a critical eye, businesses can harness the power of AI to drive innovation and growth while avoiding the pitfalls that have trapped others. In doing so, they can move closer to realizing the full potential of conversational AI in shaping the future of business analytics and customer engagement.
EXPERT OPINION BY SRINI PAGIDYALA, CO-FOUNDER, AIGO.AI
Wednesday, March 20, 2024
THE OPENAI CEO's REMARKS MIGHT RAISE A FEW EYEBROWS, BUT NOT IN A WAY YOU MIGHT EXPECT
The most popular iteration of OpenAI's ChatGPT -- the generative AI chatbot that's taken the world by storm and amassed 100 million daily users -- "kinda sucks," according to Sam Altman, the company's CEO.
Altman struck the critical tone on an episode of The Lex Fridman Podcast, released Monday. The conversation covered a wide area related to generative AI and the torrent of hype and gold rush that's followed since the commercial release of ChatGPT in November, 2022.
Fridman called GPT-4 "amazing" and "historically impressive," and described the evolution of different iterations of the tech as fostering "a historic, pivotal moment" in the world.
In response, Altman cut a pensive figure, stroking his chin, and said "I think it kinda sucks." He explained his thinking with a comparison to how some people might look back on past versions of the iPhone and think that they're useless compared to current models. "I think it is an amazing thing," Altman said, giving his company some credit for its first commercial product, which it released for free. GPT-4, by contrast, is available starting at $20 a month.
Founders might empathize with Altman's chilly review of his company's technology. Every viable product has to start somewhere, and self-criticism can be harnessed in positive ways.
The context around Altman's comments is crucial, particularly as generative AI technology evolves at a rapid clip, Altman emphasized.
"At the time of GPT-3, people were like 'this is amazing, this is [a] marvel of technology,'... and it was. But now we have GPT-4, and you look at GPT-3 and you're like 'that's unimaginably horrible,' " Altman said.
Altman addressed the next version of the ubiquitous chatbot, presumably called GPT-5, saying "I expect the delta between 5 and 4 will be the same as between 4 and 3. It's our job to live in the future and remember that our tools are going to kind of suck looking back at them."
OpenAI's next big product doesn't have a release date, and the rumor-mill has been chugging along, with people on Reddit particularly buzzy with speculation about what the company will unleash and when. Asked by Fridman whether GPT-5 will be released this year, Altman said "I don't know. That's an honest answer."
Though he did say, "We will release an amazing new model this year." It's unclear what the company will call it if not GPT-5
How much time will need to elapse after the release of this forthcoming model for Altman to believe it "sucks" is a question nobody can answer.
Monday, March 18, 2024
AN ANALYSIS OF 5 MILLION JOB POSTINGS SHOWED THESE ARE THE 3 JOBS BEING REPLACED BY AI THE FASTEST
I've resisted writing about how AI will affect the job market because, frankly, I had no idea what to say. Since the explosion of generative AI tools on the scene, I've read reputable-sounding research saying everything from, "Don't worry, AI is leveling the playing field," to "Run for the hills, the robot apocalypse is nigh!" (OK, I might be paraphrasing slightly with that last one.)
These studies are not only often contradictory but also generally based on observations of small sets of carefully chosen workers in specific situations. They may tell you AI helps call center workers be more productive, or is causing one company to hire less customer service reps. But it seemed dangerous to draw wider conclusions on such an important subject from limited data.
But I just found one analysis that seems worth sharing, both because it looks at a very broad set of real-world jobs and because these particular jobs are the ones many self-employed Inc.com readers are likely to care about most -- freelance gigs. The news isn't good for three types of professionals in particular.
The jobs that are safe from AI (for now)
This analysis, from labor market trend publication Bloomberry, looks at publicly available data on more than 5 million jobs listed on freelancing site Upwork from a month before ChatGPT was released in November 2022 to just last month.
Researcher Henley Wing Chiu explains why they took this approach: "If there's going to be any impact to certain jobs, we'll probably see it first in the freelance market because large companies will be much slower in adopting AI tools."
Freelancers are essentially the canary in the scrappy, independently operated coal mine. What tune are they singing? That depends on what industry they're in. Wing Chiu observes that most freelance niches are doing just fine despite the ongoing generative AI revolution. Of 12 subcategories he looked at, the vast majority had actually seen the number of jobs listed increase since late 2022.
"Video editing/production jobs are up 39 percent, graphic design jobs are up 8 percent, and Web design jobs are up 10 percent. Software development jobs are also up, with backend development jobs up 6 percent and frontend/Web development jobs up 4 percent," he reports.
Unsurprisingly, postings looking for people with AI skills were also way up. "Jobs like generating AI content, developing AI agents, integrating OpenAI/ChatGPT APIs, and developing AI apps are becoming the rage," Wing Chiu says.
And those that need to worry
But there were three big exceptions. With apologies to my fellow word nerds, those were writing, translation, and customer service jobs. "The number of writing jobs declined 33 percent, translation jobs declined 19 percent, and customer service jobs declined 16 percent," the Bloomberry analysis found.
This is hardly the biggest shock, as some of the earliest and most developed use cases for AI are basic copywriting tasks and customer service chatbots. Swedish buy-now-pay-later startup Klarna just announced that its customer service chatbot is doing the work of 700 customer service reps, for instance, and the media has been full of stories of writers who have lost their jobs to AI replacements.
This data confirms what writers have already feared, but does it mean that video editors and graphic designers should rest easy? Wing Chiu isn't so sure. The uptick in these sorts of jobs, he warns, may be temporary, as companies figure out how to best use fast-improving video and image generation tools.
"I think there's several ways to interpret this data. One is that these generative AI tools are already good enough to replace many writing tasks, whether it's writing an article or a social-media post. But they're not polished enough for other jobs, like video and image generation," he writes.
It might also be that companies are still figuring out how best to use these tools. There was a lag of six months or so between the release of ChatGPT and the biggest decline in writing jobs. Companies might just need more time to figure the more complex case of video and image manipulation. If that's so, declines in many other fields just haven't quite arrived yet.
Whichever of these possible scenarios turns out to be correct, freelancers and entrepreneurs in fields likely to be touched by AI probably shouldn't be sitting around twiddling their thumbs and hoping it all works out.
Exactly how fast AI will come for rote and routine jobs in various sectors remains an open question no single research project can definitively answer. But whatever the exact contours of AI disruption, creativity, social savvy, agility, and dealing with ambiguity are likely to remain exclusively human domains for a long time yet. If you're worried about AI's impact on your industry, the time to make these skills central to what you offer is now.
EXPERT OPINION BY JESSICA STILLMAN, CONTRIBUTOR, INC.COM